[A method for identifying people with a high level of frailty by using a population database, Varese, Italy]

Since over 10 years, the Lombardy Region (Italy) has developed a system for classifying all persons registered with the healthcare system (database of persons registered with a general practitioner), according to their use of major healthcare services (hospitalizations, outpatient consultations, pharmaceutical) and whether they are exempt from copayment fees for disease-specific medications and healthcare services. The present study was conducted by the local health authorities of the province of Varese (Lombardy region, Italy) with 894.039 persons registered in the database of whom 258.770 (28.9%) with at least one chronic condition, 104.731 (11.7%) with multiple chronic conditions and 195.296 (21.8%) elderly persons. The aim was to evaluate death rates in different subgroups of patients entered in the database, including persons with chronic diseases and elderly persons. Standardized mortality rates were calculated for the year 2012. Compared with the general population, relative risk for mortality was 4,1 (95% confidence Intervals 4,0-4,2) in the elderly and 1,3 (95% confidence intervals 1,3-1,4) in chronic patients. This confirms that elderly persons have a higher level of frailty with respect to patients with chronic conditions. Mortality was found to be 28 times higher in elderly persons over 74 years of age, affected by high cost conditions such as cancer and cardiac disease, with respect to the general population.