Oseltamivir Treatment for Children with Influenza-Like Illness in China: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

Kunling Shen1, Tengbin Xiong2, Seng Chuen Tan3

  • 1Department of Respiratory Care, Beijing Children's Hospital, Beijing, China.

Plos One
|April 16, 2016
PubMed

Insights

Empiric oseltamivir treatment for children with influenza-like illness (ILI) is cost-saving and highly cost-effective in China. This strategy maximizes quality-adjusted life years (QALY) compared to no antiviral therapy or post-test treatment.

Area of Science:

  • Public Health
  • Health Economics
  • Infectious Diseases

Background:

  • Influenza causes widespread epidemics and pandemics.
  • Oseltamivir is an antiviral neuraminidase inhibitor for influenza.
  • Cost-effectiveness of oseltamivir for pediatric influenza-like illness (ILI) in China is unstudied.

Purpose of the Study:

  • Evaluate the cost-effectiveness of empiric oseltamivir vs. post-RIDT oseltamivir vs. no antiviral therapy for pediatric ILI.
  • Compare clinical and economic outcomes of different influenza management strategies in children.

Main Methods:

  • Developed a decision-analytic model simulating 1-year outcomes for pediatric ILI management.
  • Utilized literature and expert opinion from China for model inputs.
  • Measured outcomes in costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALY), comparing strategies using ICER.

Main Results:

  • Empiric oseltamivir treatment yielded the highest QALY gains.
  • Empiric oseltamivir was highly cost-effective (ICER RMB 4,438) vs. no antiviral therapy.
  • Empiric oseltamivir dominated post-RIDT oseltamivir treatment, with 100% and 99% probability of being very cost-effective.

Conclusions:

  • Empiric oseltamivir is a cost-saving and highly cost-effective strategy for managing pediatric ILI in China.
  • Modeling suggests empiric oseltamivir improves both clinical and economic outcomes.
  • Findings support widespread adoption of empiric oseltamivir for pediatric influenza management in China.
Abstract