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A Method of Trigonometric Modelling of Seasonal Variation Demonstrated with Multiple Sclerosis Relapse Data
Published on: December 9, 2015
[Prevalence of multiple sclerosis in the Region of Murcia]
E Carreon-Guarnizo1,2, E Andreu-Reinon3, M Cerdan-Sanchez3,2
1Hospital Universitario Virgen de la Arrixaca., El Palmar, Espana.
Introduction:
Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a demyelinating inflammatory disease of the central nervous system with immune-mediated pathogenesis. Recent research points to an increase in its prevalence, and a number of studies relate Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) with its aetiology.
Aims:
This study seeks to analyse the prevalence of MS in the Region of Murcia, and includes a description of the clinical characteristics at the time of onset of the disease, and of the EBV serological status of patients with MS.
Patients And Methods:
We conducted a retrospective epidemiological study based on a sample consisting of the population living within the central-west healthcare area of the Region of Murcia (257,865 inhabitants). Clinical and serological data extracted from different sources were analysed.
Results:
Prevalence of MS in the population under study: 88 cases/100,000 inhabitants. Prevalence of MS together with isolated demyelinating syndrome: 98.4 cases/100,000 inhabitants. Mean incidence of MS: 5.8 cases/100,000 inhabitants/year. At the onset of MS, 67.8% were females, 81.9% presented a relapsing-remitting course, the mean age was 31.4 years, the sensory system was the most frequently compromised (45.1%), onset was monofocal in 55.4% and the degree of disability on the Expanded Disability Status Scale was 2.1 points. The seroprevalence of EBV was 99.3%. The reactivation of EBV infection was related to the clinical activity of MS in 10 patients (45.4%).
Conclusions:
Currently, the prevalence of MS in the Region of Murcia is similar to that estimated in other Spanish autonomous regions. The study confirms the trend of increased prevalence observed over the last few decades.
Insights
Multiple sclerosis (MS) prevalence in Murcia is similar to other Spanish regions, confirming an increasing trend. The study also examined clinical features and Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) status in MS patients.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Epidemiology
- Immunology
Background:
- Multiple sclerosis (MS) is an immune-mediated demyelinating CNS disease.
- Research indicates rising MS prevalence and a link with Epstein-Barr virus (EBV).
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze MS prevalence and clinical characteristics in the Region of Murcia.
- To assess EBV serological status in MS patients.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective epidemiological study in the central-west healthcare area of Murcia.
- Analysis of clinical and serological data from 257,865 inhabitants.
Main Results:
- MS prevalence: 88 cases/100,000 population; with isolated demyelinating syndrome: 98.4 cases/100,000.
- Typical onset: 31.4 years, 67.8% female, relapsing-remitting course (81.9%), sensory system most affected (45.1%).
- EBV seroprevalence was 99.3%; reactivation linked to MS activity in 45.4% of cases.
Conclusions:
- MS prevalence in Murcia aligns with other Spanish regions.
- The study confirms a growing trend in MS prevalence over recent decades.

