Can across-treatment changes in cumulative puff duration predict treatment outcome during nicotine fading

The smoking behavior of 10 male and 15 female smokers was assessed weekly during a standardized nicotine fading program to examine the relationship between compensatory smoking (i.e., increases in the number of cigarettes smoked per day, expired air carbon monoxide (CO), or the frequency and duration of puffs) and posttreatment abstinence from tobacco. Subjects who continued to smoke or relapsed immediately following treatment (Nonabstainers) smoked significantly more cigarettes per day during the program (p less than .05) and exhibited greater across-treatment increases in the time spent puffing a cigarette (i.e., cumulative puff duration) (p less than .05) than subjects who successfully quit smoking (Abstainers). Both Nonabstainers and Abstainers exhibited across-treatment decreases in expired air CO (p less than .001). Similar analyses conducted between subjects who were abstinent versus relapsed 3-6 months following treatment revealed no significant differences in smoking behavior, although both groups exhibited similar across-treatment decreases in CO (p less than .001) and time spent smoking a cigarette (i.e., time alite) (p less than .05). The findings are discussed in reference to their relevance to (a) the development of differential assessment procedures to match smokers to appropriate treatments; (b) the determination of appropriate procedural modifications in the nicotine fading protocol; and (c) nicotine regulation research.