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Updated: Mar 20, 2026

Assessment of Child Anthropometry in a Large Epidemiologic Study
Published on: February 2, 2017
Infant BMI or Weight-for-Length and Obesity Risk in Early Childhood
Sani M Roy1, Jordan G Spivack2, Myles S Faith3
1Divisions of Endocrinology and Diabetes.
Insights
Body mass index (BMI) in infancy is a better predictor of early obesity risk than weight-for-length (WFL). High BMI at two months significantly increases the odds of a child being obese by age two.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric endocrinology
- Public health nutrition
- Childhood obesity research
Background:
- Weight-for-length (WFL) is the standard for assessing infant adiposity under two years.
- Early identification of obesity risk is crucial for timely intervention.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare weight-for-length (WFL) and body mass index (BMI) based adiposity estimates in infants.
- To determine which measure better predicts early-onset obesity risk.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of anthropometric data from 73,949 full-term infants up to 24 months.
- Calculation of World Health Organization WFL and BMI z-scores (WFL-z, BMI-z).
- Logistic regression to assess obesity odds at two years based on two-month adiposity classification.
Main Results:
- BMI-z showed higher consistency with older age measurements compared to WFL-z at two months.
- Infants with high BMI (≥85th percentile) at two months had significantly greater odds of obesity at two years (OR 5.49) than those with high WFL (OR 1.40).
- BMI had a higher positive predictive value for obesity at two years (47% vs. 29% at 97.7th percentile).
Conclusions:
- High infant BMI is a stronger indicator of early childhood obesity than high WFL.
- Using BMI in early infancy can improve the identification of children at risk for obesity.
- Current epidemiological studies on childhood obesity risk should consider incorporating BMI assessments.
Background:
Weight-for-length (WFL) is currently used to assess adiposity under 2 years. We assessed WFL- versus BMI-based estimates of adiposity in healthy infants in determining risk for early obesity.
Methods:
Anthropometrics were extracted from electronic medical records for well-child visits for 73 949 full-term infants from a large pediatric network. World Health Organization WFL and BMI z scores (WFL-z and BMI-z, respectively) were calculated up to age 24 months. Correlation analyses assessed the agreement between WFL-z and BMI-z and within-subject tracking over time. Logistic regression determined odds of obesity at 2 years on the basis of adiposity classification at 2 months.
Results:
Agreement between WFL-z and BMI-z increased from birth to 6 months and remained high thereafter. BMI-z at 2 months was more consistent with measurements at older ages than WFL-z at 2 months. Infants with high BMI (≥85th percentile) and reference WFL (5th-85th percentiles) at 2 months had greater odds of obesity at 2 years than those with high WFL (≥85th percentile) and reference BMI (5th-85th percentiles; odds ratio, 5.49 vs 1.40; P < .001). At 2 months, BMI had a higher positive predictive value than WFL for obesity at 2 years using cut-points of either the 85th percentile (31% vs 23%) or 97.7th percentile (47% vs 29%).
Conclusions:
High BMI in early infancy is more strongly associated with early childhood obesity than high WFL. Forty-seven percent of infants with BMI ≥97.7th percentile at 2 months (versus 29% of infants with WFL ≥97.7th percentile at 2 months) were obese at 2 years. Epidemiologic studies focused on assessing childhood obesity risk should consider using BMI in early infancy.
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