Anticoagulation and population risk of stroke and death in incident atrial fibrillation: a population-based cohort

Amy Y X Yu1, Shaun Malo1, Stephen Wilton1

  • 1Department of Clinical Neurosciences (Yu), University of Calgary, Calgary, Alta.; Surveillance and Assessment Branch (Malo, Svenson), Alberta Health, Edmonton, Alta.; Libin Cardiovascular Institute (Wilton), Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alta.; Division of Cardiology (Parkash), Queen Elizabeth II Health Sciences Center, Halifax, NS; School of Public Health (Svenson), University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alta.; Departments of Clinical Neurosciences and Community Health Sciences (Hill), University of Calgary, Calgary, Alta.

CMAJ Open
|June 10, 2016
PubMed

Insights

Anticoagulation therapy significantly reduces stroke and death risk in new atrial fibrillation patients. This study supports aggressive screening and treatment for atrial fibrillation to improve outcomes.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Public Health
  • Pharmacology

Background:

  • Atrial fibrillation (AF) poses a significant risk for stroke and mortality.
  • Anticoagulation therapy is proven effective for stroke prevention in AF but is underutilized.
  • This study evaluated anticoagulation's effectiveness and safety in new-onset AF patients in Alberta, Canada.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To determine the effectiveness of anticoagulation therapy in preventing stroke and death.
  • To assess the safety of anticoagulation therapy in patients with new-onset atrial fibrillation.
  • To evaluate anticoagulation use in a real-world, population-based setting.

Main Methods:

  • Population-based cohort study utilizing administrative health data from Alberta.
  • Inclusion of all new-onset atrial fibrillation patients between January 1, 2009, and December 31, 2010.
  • Time-to-event analysis and Cox proportional hazards modeling, adjusting for sex and CHADS2 score, to assess anticoagulation's impact on stroke and death.

Main Results:

  • Out of 10,745 patients, 68.5% received anticoagulation, primarily warfarin.
  • Anticoagulation significantly decreased the risk of ischemic stroke (HR 0.69), all stroke (HR 0.77), and all-cause mortality (HR 0.67).
  • An increased risk of hemorrhagic stroke (HR 1.92) was observed, with neutral associations for subdural and gastrointestinal hemorrhage.

Conclusions:

  • Anticoagulation therapy is effective and safe for stroke prevention and mortality reduction in incident atrial fibrillation.
  • Population data strongly support proactive screening for atrial fibrillation.
  • Aggressive treatment with anticoagulant medications is recommended to prevent stroke and death in AF patients.
Abstract

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