Do waiting times affect health outcomes? Evidence from coronary bypass
Giuseppe Moscelli1, Luigi Siciliani2, Valentina Tonei3
1Centre for Health Economics, University of York, York, YO10 5DD, United Kingdom.
Insights
Longer waiting times for coronary bypass surgery in the UK
Area of Science:
- Health Services Research
- Public Health Policy
- Cardiovascular Surgery Outcomes
Background:
- Long waiting times are common in publicly funded healthcare systems.
- Concerns exist that delays may lead to worse patient health outcomes.
- The impact of waiting times on surgical outcomes requires investigation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To examine the association between waiting times for coronary bypass surgery and patient health outcomes.
- To assess the impact of delays on in-hospital mortality and readmission rates.
- To inform policy on healthcare rationing mechanisms.
Main Methods:
- Utilized data from the English National Health Service (NHS) Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) from 2000-2010.
- Employed hospital fixed effects and instrumental variable methods for robust analysis.
- Measured health outcomes using in-hospital mortality and 28-day emergency readmission rates.
Main Results:
- Found no significant association between waiting times and in-hospital mortality.
- Observed a weak association between longer waiting times and emergency readmission post-surgery.
- Results suggest waiting times may not severely impact immediate post-operative mortality.
Conclusions:
- Waiting times for coronary bypass surgery do not appear to increase in-hospital mortality.
- A weak link exists between longer waits and emergency readmissions.
- Findings support waiting times as a potential healthcare rationing strategy, warranting further research.
Abstract:
Long waiting times for non-emergency services are a feature of several publicly-funded health systems. A key policy concern is that long waiting times may worsen health outcomes: when patients receive treatment, their health condition may have deteriorated and health gains reduced. This study investigates whether patients in need of coronary bypass with longer waiting times are associated with poorer health outcomes in the English National Health Service over 2000-2010. Exploiting information from the Hospital Episode Statistics (HES), we measure health outcomes with in-hospital mortality and 28-day emergency readmission following discharge. Our results, obtained combining hospital fixed effects and instrumental variable methods, find no evidence of waiting times being associated with higher in-hospital mortality and weak association between waiting times and emergency readmission following a surgery. The results inform the debate on the relative merits of different types of rationing in healthcare systems. They are to some extent supportive of waiting times as an acceptable rationing mechanism, although further research is required to explore whether long waiting times affect other aspects of individuals' life.
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