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A mixed relaxed clock model.

Nicolas Lartillot1, Matthew J Phillips2, Fredrik Ronquist3

  • 1Laboratoire de Biométrie et Biologie Evolutive, UMR CNRS 5558, Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1, F-69622 Villeurbanne Cedex, France nicolas.lartillot@univ-lyon1.fr.

Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological Sciences
|June 22, 2016
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

A new mixed relaxed clock model combines uncorrelated and autocorrelated rates for Bayesian phylogenetic dating. This approach improves divergence time estimates, particularly in tip-dating analyses, offering more realistic evolutionary timelines for placental mammals.

Keywords:
Bayesian inferenceMonte Carlomolecular datingrelaxed molecular clock

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Area of Science:

  • Evolutionary biology
  • Phylogenetics
  • Computational biology

Background:

  • Bayesian phylogenetic dating commonly uses relaxed clock models to account for rate variation across evolutionary lineages.
  • Existing models are categorized as uncorrelated (white noise) or autocorrelated (Brownian motion) across branches, with the choice between them being a persistent challenge.
  • Neither uncorrelated nor autocorrelated models fully capture the complex patterns of rate variation, which may involve both long-term trends and short-term fluctuations.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To introduce and evaluate a novel mixed relaxed clock model for Bayesian phylogenetic dating.
  • To provide a statistically robust alternative to choosing between uncorrelated and autocorrelated clock models by integrating their strengths.
  • To assess the impact of different relaxed clock models on divergence time estimation, particularly using tip-dating.

Main Methods:

  • A mixed relaxed clock model was developed, mechanistically representing rate variation as short-term fluctuations superimposed on long-term Brownian trends.
  • The model was fitted to a dataset of 105 placental mammals using both node-dating and tip-dating approaches.
  • Statistical comparisons were made against traditional uncorrelated (white noise) and autocorrelated (Brownian motion) relaxed clock models.

Main Results:

  • The mixed relaxed clock model was favored over pure uncorrelated or autocorrelated models, with roughly equal contributions from both components.
  • Tip-dating analyses were highly sensitive to the choice of clock model, with the classical Brownian clock showing rigidity and potential biases.
  • The mixed clock model yielded more recent and biologically plausible crown age estimates for placental mammal orders and superorders.

Conclusions:

  • The proposed mixed relaxed clock model offers a more empirically adequate approach to modeling rate variation in phylogenetic trees.
  • This model provides a valuable alternative for resolving the dichotomy between uncorrelated and autocorrelated relaxed clocks.
  • The findings highlight the importance of selecting appropriate relaxed clock models for accurate divergence time estimation, especially with tip-dating methods.