The Declining Incidence of Legg-Calve-Perthes' Disease in Northern Ireland: An Epidemiological Study

Conor J Mullan1, Lara J Thompson, Aidan P Cosgrove

  • 1Royal Belfast Hospital for Sick Children (RBHSC), Belfast, UK.

Insights

Incidence of Legg-Calve-Perthes disease (LCPD) in children aged 0-14 in Northern Ireland decreased by 61% over 15 years. Environmental factors likely contribute to this decline in pediatric LCPD cases.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatric Orthopedics
  • Epidemiology
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Legg-Calve-Perthes disease (LCPD) is an idiopathic condition affecting the pediatric femoral head, with poorly understood causes and significant long-term hip pathology.
  • Previous research indicated geographical variations in LCPD incidence, with Northern Ireland (NI) showing relatively high rates.
  • A declining trend in new LCPD diagnoses over time has been observed.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate changes in the incidence of Legg-Calve-Perthes disease (LCPD) within the pediatric population (0-14 years) in Northern Ireland over a 15-year period.
  • To analyze epidemiological trends and potential contributing environmental factors for LCPD.
  • To update understanding of LCPD prevalence in a specific geographical region.

Main Methods:

  • A retrospective cohort study design was employed (Level IV evidence).
  • Data from an established database of pediatric LCPD cases (ages 0-14) were collated and confirmed with electronic radiologic records.
  • Postal code data were used as a proxy for socioeconomic deprivation to assess geographical associations.

Main Results:

  • A significant 61% decrease in LCPD incidence was observed in the pediatric population of NI over the 15-year study period.
  • No significant changes were found in the age or sex distribution between the two cohorts analyzed.
  • The association between geographical measures of deprivation and LCPD incidence in NI remained evident.

Conclusions:

  • The incidence of new Legg-Calve-Perthes disease (LCPD) cases is demonstrably decreasing over time.
  • The consistent epidemiological data between cohorts suggest environmental changes are influencing the decline in LCPD.
  • Potential environmental factors implicated include changes in smoking rates, breastfeeding practices, lead exposure, and vaccination implementation.
Abstract