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Global Prevalence of Chronic Kidney Disease - A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
Nathan R Hill1, Samuel T Fatoba1, Jason L Oke1
1Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Insights
Chronic kidney disease (CKD) affects 11-13% globally, with most cases being Stage 3. This global health issue increases cardiovascular disease risks and requires scalable interventions to slow progression.
Area of Science:
- Nephrology
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a significant global health concern, contributing to high healthcare costs.
- CKD is an independent risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD), increasing morbidity and mortality across all stages.
- Accurate global prevalence data for CKD are lacking, despite its often asymptomatic nature in early stages.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the global prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD).
- To analyze CKD prevalence by disease stage, geographical location, gender, and age.
- To provide a comprehensive overview of the CKD burden worldwide.
Main Methods:
- A systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies on CKD prevalence in general populations.
- Literature searches conducted across 8 databases to identify relevant studies.
- Pooled prevalence data analyzed using a random effects model, including 100 studies with 6,908,440 participants.
Main Results:
- The global mean prevalence of CKD across all 5 stages was estimated at 13.4% (11.7-15.1%).
- The prevalence of advanced CKD (stages 3-5) was 10.6% (9.2-12.2%), with Stage 3 being the most common.
- Prevalence by stage: Stage 1 (3.5%), Stage 2 (3.9%), Stage 3 (7.6%), Stage 4 (0.4%), and Stage 5 (0.1%). Study quality did not significantly alter prevalence estimates.
Conclusions:
- CKD exhibits a high global prevalence, consistently estimated between 11% and 13%.
- Stage 3 CKD represents the majority of cases, highlighting a substantial public health challenge.
- Future research should focus on scalable interventions to delay CKD progression and mitigate associated cardiovascular risks.
Abstract:
Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a global health burden with a high economic cost to health systems and is an independent risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD). All stages of CKD are associated with increased risks of cardiovascular morbidity, premature mortality, and/or decreased quality of life. CKD is usually asymptomatic until later stages and accurate prevalence data are lacking. Thus we sought to determine the prevalence of CKD globally, by stage, geographical location, gender and age. A systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies estimating CKD prevalence in general populations was conducted through literature searches in 8 databases. We assessed pooled data using a random effects model. Of 5,842 potential articles, 100 studies of diverse quality were included, comprising 6,908,440 patients. Global mean(95%CI) CKD prevalence of 5 stages 13·4%(11·7-15·1%), and stages 3-5 was 10·6%(9·2-12·2%). Weighting by study quality did not affect prevalence estimates. CKD prevalence by stage was Stage-1 (eGFR>90+ACR>30): 3·5% (2·8-4·2%); Stage-2 (eGFR 60-89+ACR>30): 3·9% (2·7-5·3%); Stage-3 (eGFR 30-59): 7·6% (6·4-8·9%); Stage-4 = (eGFR 29-15): 0·4% (0·3-0·5%); and Stage-5 (eGFR<15): 0·1% (0·1-0·1%). CKD has a high global prevalence with a consistent estimated global CKD prevalence of between 11 to 13% with the majority stage 3. Future research should evaluate intervention strategies deliverable at scale to delay the progression of CKD and improve CVD outcomes.
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