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Evidence for climate change in the satellite cloud record
Nature
|July 12, 2016
Summary
Cloud changes significantly impact Earth's energy budget and are a major climate change uncertainty. Satellite data confirm that observed cloud patterns align with climate model predictions, driven by greenhouse gases and volcanic cooling.
Area of Science:
- Earth Science
- Atmospheric Science
- Climate Science
Background:
- Clouds play a critical role in Earth's energy budget by influencing solar and thermal radiation.
- Cloud changes represent a significant uncertainty in climate change projections due to model and data discrepancies.
- Long-term, stable observational data are crucial for detecting reliable cloud change trends.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate observed cloud changes over recent decades using corrected satellite data.
- To compare observed cloud changes with patterns predicted by climate models.
- To identify the primary drivers of observed cloud pattern shifts.
Main Methods:
- Utilized several independent, empirically corrected satellite records of cloud properties.
- Analyzed cloud changes between the 1980s and 2000s.
- Compared observed cloud change patterns with climate model simulations incorporating historical radiative forcing.
Main Results:
- Observed large-scale cloud change patterns between the 1980s and 2000s showed significant similarities to climate model simulations.
- Consistent patterns included poleward retreat of mid-latitude storm tracks and expansion of subtropical dry zones.
- Increasing cloud top heights were observed across all latitudes.
Conclusions:
- Observed cloud changes are consistent with climate model predictions, suggesting these models capture key climate dynamics.
- Increasing greenhouse gas concentrations and recovery from volcanic cooling are identified as primary drivers of observed cloud shifts.
- The findings indicate that predicted cloud changes are actively occurring in the Earth system.
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