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Vegetated Treatment Systems for Removing Contaminants Associated with Surface Water Toxicity in Agriculture and Urban Runoff
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Assessing uncertainty in stormwater quality modelling.

Buddhi Wijesiri1, Prasanna Egodawatta1, James McGree1

  • 1Science and Engineering Faculty, Queensland University of Technology (QUT), GPO Box 2434, Brisbane, 4001, Queensland, Australia.

Water Research
|July 18, 2016
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Urban stormwater pollution mitigation is challenging due to unreliable models. This study quantifies build-up and wash-off process uncertainty, improving stormwater quality predictions and mitigation strategy design.

Keywords:
Particle sizePollutant build-upPollutant wash-offProcess uncertaintyStormwater pollutant processesStormwater quality

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Area of Science:

  • Environmental Engineering
  • Water Resource Management
  • Urban Hydrology

Background:

  • Effective urban stormwater management faces challenges due to the unreliability of catchment-scale stormwater quality models.
  • Assessing model-generated uncertainty is crucial for informed decision-making in pollution mitigation.
  • Existing uncertainty assessment methods often fail to adequately address process uncertainty in build-up and wash-off.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To quantitatively assess the uncertainty associated with build-up and wash-off processes in urban stormwater quality modelling.
  • To investigate how process uncertainty influences stormwater quality predictions.
  • To provide insights for designing more effective stormwater pollution mitigation strategies.

Main Methods:

  • Characterizing variability in build-up and wash-off processes across different particle size ranges.
  • Incorporating quantified process uncertainties into catchment stormwater quality predictions.
  • Analyzing the impact of build-up versus wash-off process uncertainty on model outputs.

Main Results:

  • Variability in build-up and wash-off processes, particularly concerning particle size, directly leads to process uncertainty.
  • Accounting for process uncertainty significantly influences the uncertainty bounds of predicted stormwater quality.
  • Build-up process uncertainty has a greater impact on stormwater quality predictions than wash-off process uncertainty.

Conclusions:

  • Decision-making for mitigation strategies should prioritize addressing dry-weather pollutant accumulation variations.
  • The influence of process uncertainty on predictions varies with storm event characteristics (intensity, duration, volume) and Runoff-Catchment Area ratio.
  • Selecting appropriate storm events for mitigation strategy design requires consideration of both event characteristics and the impact of process uncertainty on predictions.