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Permutation-based inference for the AUC: A unified approach for continuous and discontinuous data.
Markus Pauly1, Thomas Asendorf2, Frank Konietschke3
1Institute of Statistics, University of Ulm, Helmholtzstrasse 20, 89081, Ulm, Germany. markus.pauly@uni-ulm.de.
This study establishes theoretical foundations for rank-based studentized permutation tests for the Behrens-Fisher problem, enhancing inference for the area under the ROC curve. The methods provide accurate confidence intervals, even for small sample sizes, with R software available.
Area of Science:
- Statistics
- Nonparametric Statistics
- Biostatistics
Background:
- The Behrens-Fisher problem involves comparing variances between two independent groups.
- Inference for the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve is crucial in diagnostic test evaluation.
- Existing rank-based methods lacked robust theoretical underpinnings for certain scenarios.
Purpose of the Study:
- To provide a theoretical foundation for rank-based studentized permutation methods for the Behrens-Fisher problem.
- To establish the asymptotic normality of the Brunner-Munzel rank statistic under the alternative hypothesis.
- To demonstrate the consistency and invertibility of the Neubert and Brunner studentized permutation test for confidence interval computation.
Main Methods:
- Investigated rank-based studentized permutation methods.
- Proved asymptotic standard normality of the Brunner-Munzel rank statistic.
- Derived permutation-based range-preserving confidence intervals.
- Conducted extensive simulation studies.
Main Results:
- The studentized permutation distribution of the Brunner-Munzel rank statistic is asymptotically standard normal, even under the alternative.
- The Neubert and Brunner studentized permutation test is consistent.
- Confidence intervals for treatment effects can be computed by inverting the permutation test.
- Permutation-based confidence intervals maintain preassigned coverage probability accurately, even for small sample sizes.
Conclusions:
- The study provides the missing theoretical foundation for studentized permutation tests in the Behrens-Fisher problem.
- The proposed methods offer reliable confidence intervals for treatment effects, applicable even with limited data.
- Freely available R software facilitates the application of these advanced statistical techniques.
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