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Updated: Mar 16, 2026

In Silico Clinical Trials for Cardiovascular Disease
Published on: May 27, 2022
Continued efforts to translate diabetes cardiovascular outcome trials into clinical practice
Angelo Avogaro1, Gian Paolo Fadini2, Giorgio Sesti3
1Department of Medicine, University of Padova, Via Giustiniani 2, 35128, Padova, Italy.
Insights
Lowering HbA1c in type 2 diabetes offers limited macrovascular benefit. Cardiovascular outcome trials show SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 RAs reduce major adverse cardiovascular events and mortality, guiding treatment strategies.
Area of Science:
- Endocrinology
- Cardiology
- Pharmacology
Background:
- Diabetic patients face high cardiovascular event rates, with risk correlating to HbA1c levels.
- Lowering HbA1c shows less benefit for macrovascular than microvascular endpoints.
- The cardiovascular risk profiles of glucose-lowering regimens are a key clinical consideration.
Purpose of the Study:
- To review completed cardiovascular outcome trials (CVOTs) of glucose-lowering medications.
- To suggest a treatment algorithm based on cardiac and renal comorbidities.
- To translate CVOT findings into clinical practice for managing type 2 diabetes.
Main Methods:
- Review of placebo-controlled cardiovascular outcome trials (CVOTs).
- Analysis of trial results for DPP-4 inhibitors, GLP-1 receptor agonists, and SGLT2 inhibitors.
- Synthesis of mechanistic studies and clinical trial data.
Main Results:
- CVOTs for DPP-4 inhibitors showed general disappointment regarding cardiovascular safety.
- EMPA-REG Outcome (empagliflozin) and LEADER (liraglutide) trials demonstrated significant reductions in 3-point MACE and mortality.
- The cardioprotective effects of GLP-1 receptor agonists are mechanistically supported, while SGLT2 inhibitors' ability to prevent cardiovascular death requires further investigation.
Conclusions:
- Glucose-lowering medications have varying cardiovascular risk profiles.
- SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists show promise in reducing cardiovascular events and mortality in type 2 diabetes.
- A treatment algorithm incorporating cardiac and renal comorbidities can optimize patient management based on CVOT findings.
Abstract:
Diabetic patients suffer from a high rate of cardiovascular events and such risk increases with HbA1c. However, lowering HbA1c does not appear to yield the same benefit on macrovascular endpoints, as observed for microvascular endpoints. As the number of glucose-lowering medications increases, clinicians have to consider several open questions in the management of type 2 diabetes, one of which is the cardiovascular risk profile of each regimen. Recent placebo-controlled cardiovascular outcome trials (CVOTs) have responded to some of these questions, but careful interpretation is needed. After general disappointment around CVOTs assessing safety of DPP-4 inhibitors (SAVOR, TECOS, EXAMINE) and the GLP-1 receptor agonist lixisenatide (ELIXA), the EMPA-REG Outcome trial and the LEADER trial have shown superiority of the SGLT2-I empagliflozin and the GLP-1RA liraglutide, respectively, on the 3-point MACE outcome (cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction or stroke) and cardiovascular, as well as all-cause mortality. While available mechanistic studies largely support a cardioprotective effect of GLP-1, the ability of SGLT2 inhibitor(s) to prevent cardiovascular death was unexpected and deserves future investigation. We herein review the results of completed CVOTs of glucose-lowering medications and suggest a possible treatment algorithm based on cardiac and renal co-morbidities to translate CVOT findings into clinical practice.
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