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Determining Risk of Falls in Community Dwelling Older Adults: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis Using Posttest
Michelle M Lusardi1, Stacy Fritz, Addie Middleton
11Department of Physical Therapy and Human Movement Science, College of Health Professions, Sacred Heart University, Fairfield, Connecticut 2Department of Physical Therapy, Arnold School of Public Health, University of South Carolina, Columbia 3Division of Rehabilitation Sciences and Center for Recovery, Physical Activity and Nutrition, University of Texas Medical Branch, Galveston 4Department of Physical Therapy, Winston Salem State University, Winston Salem, North Carolina 5University of Vermont Medical Center, Colchester 6University of North Carolina Memorial Hospitals, Chapel Hill 7Physical Therapy Program, Chatham University, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 8Care One at the Highlands, Edison, New Jersey 9Geriatric Residency Program, Brooks Rehabilitation Institute of Higher Learning, Jacksonville, Florida 10School of Physical Therapy, Pacific University, Hillsboro, Oregon.
Identifying fall risk in older adults is crucial. While no single test is perfect, specific history questions, self-report, and performance-based measures, like the Berg Balance Scale, show clinical usefulness for predicting future falls.
Area of Science:
- Gerontology
- Biomedical Engineering
- Public Health
Background:
- Falls are a major health concern for older adults, necessitating accurate fall risk assessment for preventive interventions.
- Current fall risk assessment tools lack comprehensive data on predictive accuracy, highlighting a need for evidence-based evaluation.
- Falls are multifactorial, and no single diagnostic measure accurately predicts future fall events in community-dwelling older adults.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the predictive accuracy of various fall risk assessment measures in community-dwelling older adults.
- To compare posttest probability (PoTP) values for individual history questions, self-report measures, and performance-based measures.
- To assess the utility of combining multiple measures for improved fall risk prediction.
Main Methods:
- Systematic review and meta-analysis of studies published between January 1990 and September 2013.
- Inclusion of prospective and retrospective studies with at least 30 community-dwelling older adults (≥65 years) and a minimum 6-month fall tracking period.
- Calculation of sensitivity, specificity, likelihood ratios, and posttest probability (PoTP) values for individual measures, with methodological quality assessed using QUADAS.
Main Results:
- Data from 59 studies were synthesized, providing PoTP values for 46 distinct fall risk assessment measures.
- No single measure demonstrated strong predictive ability; however, five history questions, two self-report measures, and five performance-based measures showed potential clinical utility based on cumulative PoTP.
- The Berg Balance Scale (≤50 points), Timed Up and Go (≥12 seconds), and 5 Times Sit-to-Stand (≥12 seconds) were identified as the most evidence-supported functional measures for predicting future falls.
Conclusions:
- Accurate fall risk prediction in older adults remains challenging due to variations in study quality and methodology.
- Specific functional tests, including the Berg Balance Scale, Timed Up and Go, and 5 Times Sit-to-Stand, are recommended for clinical use in assessing fall risk.
- Further research is needed to address identified knowledge gaps and improve the accuracy of fall risk assessment tools.
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