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Comparing Pediatric Trauma, Glasgow Coma Scale and Injury Severity scores for mortality prediction in traumatic
Shahrokh Yousefzadeh-Chabok1, Ehsan Kazemnejad-Leili1, Leila Kouchakinejad-Eramsadati1
1Preventive and Social Medicine, Medical Faculty, Guilan Road Trauma Research Center, Guilan University of Medical Sciences, Rasht-Iran.
Insights
The Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score may be the most effective tool for predicting mortality in pediatric trauma patients. This study compared the GCS, Pediatric Trauma Score (PTS), and Injury Severity Score (ISS) in trauma cases.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Emergency Medicine
- Trauma Surgery
- Clinical Outcomes Research
Background:
- Traumatic injuries represent a significant global cause of childhood mortality and disability.
- Accurate prediction of mortality is crucial for effective trauma management in pediatric patients.
- Existing scoring systems like PTS, GCS, and ISS require comparative evaluation for pediatric trauma.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare the predictive efficacy of the Pediatric Trauma Score (PTS), Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score, and Injury Severity Score (ISS) for mortality in pediatric trauma.
- To identify the most accurate scoring system for assessing the risk of death in children with traumatic injuries.
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 588 children with trauma admitted to an emergency center was retrospectively analyzed.
- The PTS, GCS, and ISS were calculated for each patient.
- Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was employed to compare the predictive accuracy of the scores.
Main Results:
- The Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score demonstrated high sensitivity (98.4%) and specificity (92.3%) for mortality prediction with a cut-off of ≤8.
- The Pediatric Trauma Score (PTS) showed 100% sensitivity but lower specificity (31%) with a cut-off of ≤0.5.
- The Injury Severity Score (ISS) had 92.5% sensitivity and 62% specificity for mortality prediction with a cut-off of ≥16.5. All scores were statistically significant predictors (p<0.0001).
Conclusions:
- The Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score appears to be a superior predictor of mortality in pediatric trauma cases compared to the PTS and ISS.
- The findings suggest that GCS assessment is vital for risk stratification in injured children.
- Further validation of GCS as a primary mortality predictor in diverse pediatric trauma populations is warranted.
Background:
Trauma is a major cause of disability and death among children worldwide, particularly in developed countries. The present aim was to compare efficacies of the Pediatric Trauma score (PTS), the Glasgow Coma Scale score (GCS), and the Injury Severity Score (ISS) in the prediction of mortality in children injured by trauma.
Methods:
A total of 588 children admitted to the emergency ward of the Poursina Medical and Educational Center from 2010-2011 with trauma were included. The PTS, GCS, and ISS were calculated for all patients. Predictive efficacy of these scores was compared using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve with 95% confidence interval.
Results:
Of the patient population, 62.1% were male and 37.9% female, with a mean age of 7.31±3.8 years. Road accident (42.2%) was the most common cause of injury. Overall, 2.4% of participants died. Regarding the prediction of mortality, the best cut-off point for the GCS was ≤8, with 98.4% sensitivity and 92.3% specificity. The same point for the PTS was ≤0.5, with 100% sensitivity and 31% specificity. For the ISS it was ≥16.5, with 92.5% sensitivity and 62% specificity. All variables based on mortality prediction were statistically significant (p<0.0001).
Conclusion:
When compared to the PTS and ISS, the GCS may be a better predictor of mortality in cases of childhood trauma.
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