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Related Experiment Video

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Modified Drop Tower Impact Tests for American Football Helmets
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Injuries and home advantage in the NFL.

Marshall B Jones1

  • 1Professor and Chairman Emeritus, Department of Neural and Behavioral Sciences, College of Medicine, Pennsylvania State University, Hershey, PA USA.

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|October 26, 2016
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Increased awareness of football concussions coincided with a shift in home advantage trends in the NFL. This study explores how player injuries, influenced by game number, may explain the changing home advantage dynamics.

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Area of Science:

  • Sports Science
  • Neurology
  • Sports Analytics

Background:

  • Growing awareness in the early 2000s highlighted the severe long-term consequences of concussions in the National Football League (NFL).
  • Previously underestimated, the cumulative impact of head injuries on player health became a significant concern for players, fans, and the public.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the temporal association between increased concussion awareness and changes in NFL regular season home advantage.
  • To propose a theoretical explanation for the observed shift in home advantage, linking it to player injury prevalence and defensive play.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of NFL regular season game data from 1978-2014 to track trends in home advantage.
  • Development of a theoretical model incorporating "away disadvantage" (due to crowd, officials, and injuries) and "injury prevalence" to explain home advantage dynamics.

Main Results:

  • NFL home advantage generally increased from 1978 to 2004, then significantly decreased from 2005 to 2014.
  • Injury prevalence increases linearly with game number, impacting player "defensiveness" and potentially explaining the declining home advantage.

Conclusions:

  • A notable association exists between heightened concussion awareness and the changing trajectory of home advantage in the NFL.
  • The "teamwork theory of home advantage" suggests that increased injury prevalence leads to more defensive play, reducing the home team's advantage over the season.