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Published on: January 28, 2020
Serum Total 25-OH Vitamin D Adds Little Prognostic Value in Patients Undergoing Coronary Catheterization
Michael E Gerling1, Matthew T James2, Stephen B Wilton3
1Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Alberta, Canada.
Insights
Vitamin D deficiency may increase cardiovascular disease risk. However, this study found that serum vitamin D levels offer little additional prognostic value for patients undergoing coronary catheterization.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Endocrinology
- Public Health
Background:
- Vitamin D deficiency is linked to increased cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk.
- The role of vitamin D status in clinical risk assessments for CVD patients remains unclear.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between serum total 25-hydroxy vitamin D (25-OH vitamin D) levels and mortality risk in patients undergoing coronary catheterization.
- To determine if 25-OH vitamin D measurement provides significant prognostic value beyond established risk factors.
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 2975 patients with baseline serum total 25-OH vitamin D measurements before coronary catheterization was analyzed.
- Cox regression models were employed to assess the relationship between 25-OH vitamin D and mortality, adjusting for demographic and clinical factors.
- Model performance was evaluated using discrimination, fit, calibration, and net reclassification improvement.
Main Results:
- Serum total 25-OH vitamin D was inversely associated with mortality risk after adjustment for covariates.
- This association was primarily driven by higher mortality in the lowest quintile of 25-OH vitamin D.
- The prognostic value of 25-OH vitamin D was attenuated by competing risk factors and added minimal improvement to existing risk prediction models.
Conclusions:
- Serum total 25-OH vitamin D showed an inverse association with mortality risk in patients prior to catheterization.
- However, 25-OH vitamin D provided limited additional prognostic value when considered alongside established demographic and clinical risk factors.
- Routine measurement of serum total 25-OH vitamin D is not currently warranted for risk assessment in patients undergoing coronary catheterization.
Background:
Vitamin D deficiency is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease; however, it is unclear whether vitamin D status should be considered in clinical risk assessments of patients with cardiovascular disease.
Methods And Results:
This study included 2975 patients who had their first serum total 25-hydroxy vitamin D (25-OH vitamin D) measurement before their first coronary catheterization in Alberta, Canada. Cox regression was used to examine associations between 25-OH vitamin D and mortality risk after adjusting for demographic and clinical risk factors. Interactions were tested using multiplicative terms, and prognostic value was assessed using measures of model discrimination, fit, calibration and net reclassification improvement. There were 401 deaths over a median of 5.8 years of follow-up. Serum total 25-OH vitamin D was inversely associated with mortality after adjusting for demographic and clinical risk factors, which was largely driven by excess risk in the bottom quintile (hazard ratio 1.84 for bottom versus top quintile, 95% CI 1.36-2.50, P for trend <0.001). Associations were weaker in the presence of several competing risk factors (e.g., advanced age; P for interactions <0.05). Adding 25-OH vitamin D to a model containing demographic and clinical risk factors yielded similar discrimination, model fit, and calibration and only modest improvements in risk reclassification (net reclassification improvement 1.9% for deaths, 2.3% for survivors).
Conclusions:
Pre-catheterization, serum total 25-OH vitamin D was inversely associated with mortality risk after adjusting for established demographic and clinical risk factors. This association was attenuated by several competing risk factors. Overall, 25-OH vitamin D added little prognostic value over established risk factors; therefore, its measurement is not warranted in patients undergoing coronary catheterization.
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