Predictive value of clinical scoring and simplified gait analysis for acetabulum fractures

Fractures of the acetabulum show a high, long-term complication rate. The aim of the present study was to determine the predictive value of clinical scoring and standardized, simplified gait analysis on the outcome after these fractures.

Forty-one patients with acetabular fractures treated between 2008 and 2013 and available, standardized video recorded aftercare were identified from a prospective database. A visual gait score was used to determine the patients walking abilities 6-m postoperatively. Clinical (Merle d'Aubigne and Postel score, visual analogue scale pain, EQ5d) and radiological scoring (Kellgren-Lawrence score, postoperative computed tomography, and Matta classification) were used to perform correlation and multivariate regression analysis.

The average patient age was 48 y (range, 15-82 y), six female patients were included in the study. Mean follow-up was 1.6 y (range, 1-2 y). Moderate correlation between the gait score and outcome (versus EQ5d: r_s = 0.477; versus Merle d'Aubigne: r_s = 0.444; versus Kellgren-Lawrence: r_s = -0.533), as well as high correlation between the Merle d'Aubigne score and outcome were seen (versus EQ5d: r_s = 0.575; versus Merle d'Aubigne: r_s = 0.776; versus Kellgren-Lawrence: r_s = -0.419). Using a multivariate regression model, the 6 m gait score (B = -0.299; P < 0.05) and early osteoarthritis development (B = 1.026; P < 0.05) were determined as predictors of final osteoarthritis. A good fit of the regression model was seen (R² = 904).

Easy and available clinical scoring (gait score/Merle d'Aubigne) can predict short-term radiological and functional outcome after acetabular fractures with sufficient accuracy. Decisions on further treatment and interventions could be based on simplified gait analysis.