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Mega-earthquakes rupture flat megathrusts
Quentin Bletery1, Amanda M Thomas2, Alan W Rempel2
1Department of Earth Sciences, University of Oregon, 1272 University of Oregon, Eugene, OR 97403, USA. qbletery@uoregon.edu.
Mega-earthquakes do not require fast convergence or young lithosphere. Instead, mega-earthquake rupture is linked to flat, low-curvature subduction zones, which promote homogeneous shear strength for widespread rupture.
Area of Science:
- Geophysics
- Seismology
- Tectonics
Background:
- The 2004 Sumatra-Andaman and 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquakes revealed incomplete understanding of mega-earthquake dynamics.
- Previous assumptions linked mega-earthquakes to fast convergence and young, buoyant lithosphere, which is now challenged.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the geometric factors controlling mega-earthquake rupture.
- To identify the relationship between subduction zone geometry and the occurrence of mega-earthquakes.
Main Methods:
- Calculation of interface curvature along global subduction zones.
- Development of a simplified analytic model to assess shear strength heterogeneity.
Main Results:
- Mega-earthquakes preferentially occur on flat (low-curvature) subduction interfaces.
- Interface curvature correlates with increased heterogeneity in shear strength.
- Flat megathrusts exhibit more homogeneous shear strength, facilitating simultaneous rupture over larger areas.
Conclusions:
- Subduction zone geometry, specifically interface curvature, is a critical factor in mega-earthquake rupture.
- Low-curvature interfaces promote the conditions necessary for large-area, simultaneous shear stress release characteristic of mega-earthquakes.
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