Population Pharmacokinetic-Pharmacodynamic Modeling of 5-Fluorouracil for Toxicities in Rats

Myelosuppression is a dose-limiting toxicity of 5-fluorouracil (5-FU). Predicting the inter- and intra-patient variability in pharmacokinetics and toxicities of 5-FU may contribute to the individualized medicine. This study aimed to establish a population pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic model that could evaluate the inter- and intra-individual variability in the plasma 5-FU concentration, 5-FU-induced body weight loss and myelosuppression in rats.

Plasma 5-FU concentrations, body weight loss, and blood cell counts in rats following the intravenous administration of various doses of 5-FU for 4 days were used to develop the population pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic model.

The population pharmacokinetic model consisting of a two-compartment model with Michaelis-Menten elimination kinetics successfully characterized the individual and population predictions of the plasma concentration of 5-FU and provided credible parameter estimates. The estimates of inter-individual variability in maximal rate of saturable metabolism and residual variability were 8.1 and 22.0%, respectively. The population pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic model adequately described the individual complete time-course of alterations in body weight loss, erythrocyte, leukocyte, and lymphocyte counts in rats treated with various doses of 5-FU. The inter-individual variability of the drug effects in the pharmacodynamic model for body weight loss was 82.6%, which was relatively high. The results of the present study suggest that not only individual fluctuations in the 5-FU concentration but also the cell sensitivity would affect the onset and degree of 5-FU-induced toxicity.

This population pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic model could evaluate the inter- and intra-individual variability in drug-induced toxicity and guide the assessments of novel anticancer agents in drug development.