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Global pulses scenario: status and outlook
P K Joshi1,2, P Parthasarathy Rao3
1South Asia Office, International Food Policy Research Institute, New Delhi, India.
Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences
|December 6, 2016
Summary
Global pulse production increased, but per capita availability stagnated, leading to higher prices and a surge in international pulse trade. Demand is projected to rise, especially in developing nations.
Area of Science:
- Agricultural Economics
- Global Food Security
Background:
- Pulse production growth (1.3% from 1980-2013) lagged behind population increase, causing per capita availability to stagnate at 6.5 kg/capita/year.
- Pulse prices have doubled compared to cereals due to declining availability, impacting food affordability.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze trends in global pulse production, availability, trade, and price dynamics.
- To project future demand for pulses in developing countries.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of historical agricultural production and trade data (1980-2013).
- Utilized the International Model for Policy Analysis of Agricultural Commodities and Trade (IMPACT) for demand projections.
Main Results:
- Global pulse trade volume increased fourfold between 1980 and 2011, reaching 19% of production.
- Developed countries became major exporters, while developing nations were primary importers, with exceptions in Southeast Asia and Eastern Africa.
- Projected continued demand growth for pulses in developing countries due to population, income, and urbanization.
Conclusions:
- Stagnant per capita pulse availability necessitates increased trade and production diversification.
- Rising demand in developing countries presents opportunities and challenges for global pulse markets.
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