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What Predicts Performance? A Multicenter Study Examining the Association Between Resident Performance, Rank List
Jonathan G Wagner1, Todd Schneberk1, Marissa Zobrist1
1Department of Emergency Medicine, Los Angeles County + University of Southern California Medical Center, Keck School of Medicine of USC, Los Angeles, California.
Emergency medicine residency programs aim to predict applicant success. A sub-internship at a program, not USMLE Step 1 rank, predicted resident performance, guiding future selection.
Area of Science:
- Medical Education
- Emergency Medicine Residency
Background:
- Emergency medicine (EM) residency programs strive to identify successful applicants.
- Programs utilize Rank Order Lists (ROL) to rank candidates.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine if ROL position, prior medical student rotation, or USMLE Step 1 rank predicts residency performance.
- To identify key predictors for successful EM residents.
Main Methods:
- Anonymous surveys of EM faculty at four institutions evaluated residents from 2013-2014 classes.
- Spearman's rho compared graduation ROL with program-adjusted ROL and USMLE Step 1 rank.
- Analysis included whether residents completed a medical student rotation at the program.
Main Results:
- Graduation ROL did not correlate with adjusted ROL or USMLE Step 1 rank.
- For residents who completed a sub-internship, adjusted ROL significantly correlated with final graduation ranking.
- 93 residents were evaluated in total.
Conclusions:
- USMLE Step 1 rank and adjusted ROL position did not predict overall resident performance.
- Adjusted ROL position predicted success for residents who completed a sub-internship at the program.
- Findings may inform future EM resident selection processes.
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