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Published on: November 27, 2019
The minimal clinically important difference raised the significance of outcome effects above the statistical level,
Felix Angst1, André Aeschlimann1, Jules Angst2
1Rehabilitation Clinic ("RehaClinic"), Department of Research, Quellenstrasse 34, 5330 Bad Zurzach, Switzerland.
Objective:
To illustrate and discuss current and proposed new concepts of effect size (ES) quantification and significance, with a focus on statistical and clinical/subjective interpretation and supported by empirical examples.
Study Design And Settings:
Different methods for determining minimal clinically important differences (MCIDs) are reviewed, applied to practical examples (pain score differences in knee osteoarthritis), and further developed. Their characteristics, advantages, and disadvantages are illustrated and discussed.
Results:
Empirical score differences between verum and placebo become statistically significant if sample sizes are sufficiently large. MCIDs, by contrast, are defined by patients' perceptions. MCIDs obtained by the most common "mean change method" can be expressed as absolute or relative scores, as different ES parameters, and as the optimal cutoff point on the receiver operating characteristic curve. They can further be modeled by linear and logistic regression, adjusting for potential confounders.
Conclusion:
Absolute and relative MCIDs are easy to interpret and apply to data of investigative studies. MCIDs expressed as effect sizes reduce bias, which mainly results from dependency on the baseline score. Multivariate linear and logistic regression modeling further reduces bias. Anchor-based methods use clinical/subjective perception to define MCIDs and should be clearly differentiated from distribution-based methods that provide statistical significance only.
Insights
Minimal clinically important differences (MCIDs) are crucial for interpreting study results. Anchor-based methods, reflecting patient perception, offer clearer clinical meaning than purely statistical measures.
Area of Science:
- Biostatistics
- Clinical Research Methodology
- Patient-Reported Outcomes
Background:
- Effect size (ES) quantification and significance are key in research interpretation.
- Distinguishing statistical significance from clinical relevance is essential.
- Current methods for quantifying clinical importance require nuanced understanding.
Purpose of the Study:
- To explore and discuss current and novel concepts of effect size (ES) quantification.
- To focus on both statistical and clinical/subjective interpretations of significance.
- To provide empirical examples illustrating these concepts.
Main Methods:
- Review and application of various methods for determining minimal clinically important differences (MCIDs).
- Practical examples using pain score differences in knee osteoarthritis.
- Analysis of characteristics, advantages, and disadvantages of different MCID approaches.
Main Results:
- Statistical significance of score differences requires large sample sizes.
- Minimal clinically important differences (MCIDs) are patient-defined.
- MCIDs can be expressed as absolute/relative scores, ES parameters, or ROC curve cutoffs, and modeled using regression.
Conclusions:
- Absolute and relative MCIDs are interpretable and applicable to study data.
- Expressing MCIDs as effect sizes minimizes bias related to baseline scores.
- Anchor-based methods defining MCIDs via patient perception should be distinguished from distribution-based methods.
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