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Trust and Fertility Dynamics.

Arnstein Aassve1, Francesco C Billari2, Léa Pessin3

  • 1Carlo F. Dondena, Centre for Research on Social Dynamics and, Department of Policy Analysis and Public Management, Università Bocconi, Via Guglielmo Röntgen 1, 20136 Milan, Italy, arnstein.aassve@unibocconi.it , Tel. + 39. 02.5836. 5657, Fax. + 39.02.5836.2798.

Social Forces; a Scientific Medium of Social Study and Interpretation
|December 23, 2016
PubMed
Summary

Generalized trust and women's education significantly impact fertility trends in industrialized nations. Higher trust levels help moderate fertility decline as women's educational attainment increases.

Keywords:
Generalized trustlow fertilitywomen’s education

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Area of Science:

  • Sociology
  • Demography
  • Economics

Background:

  • Fertility rates show significant divergence across advanced societies.
  • Women's educational attainment has steadily increased globally.
  • The role of social trust in demographic trends requires further investigation.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To examine the interaction between generalized trust and women's education on fertility trends.
  • To understand how social trust influences childcare outsourcing decisions.
  • To investigate the moderating effect of trust on education-fertility relationship.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized data from the World Values Survey and European Values Study (1981-2009).
  • Analyzed data from 36 industrialized countries.
  • Employed multilevel statistical analyses to assess the interaction effect.

Main Results:

  • A positive association was found between the interaction of generalized trust and women's education with completed fertility.
  • Higher levels of generalized trust moderate the decline in fertility as women's education increases.
  • Social trust appears to facilitate the combination of work and family life.

Conclusions:

  • The interplay of generalized trust and female education is a key factor in explaining fertility divergence.
  • Trust facilitates the adoption of non-familial childcare solutions, supporting higher fertility among educated women.
  • Policy and social structures that foster trust may help support fertility levels in developed countries.