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Regular biennial cycles in epidemics caused by parametric resonance

Shiyang Chen1, Bogdan Epureanu1

  • 1Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Michigan, 2350 Hayward Street, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA.

Journal of Theoretical Biology
|December 24, 2016
PubMed
Summary

Biennial cycles in childhood infectious diseases like measles are driven by parametric resonance, a phenomenon arising from nonlinearity and seasonal forcing. Understanding these conditions helps predict disease outbreaks.

Keywords:
Childhood infectious diseasesMethod of multiple scalesSIR model

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