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Elderly fall risk prediction based on a physiological profile approach using artificial neural networks.

Jafar Razmara1, Mohammad Hassan Zaboli1, Hadi Hassankhani2

  • 1University of Tabriz, Iran.

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This study predicts elderly fall risk using a neural network analyzing physiological factors. Combining psychological and public health data achieved over 91% accuracy, identifying elders at risk for falls.

Keywords:
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Area of Science:

  • Gerontology
  • Biomedical Engineering
  • Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare

Background:

  • Falls are a major cause of morbidity and mortality in older adults.
  • Accurate prediction of fall risk is crucial for preventative interventions in elder care.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To predict fall risk in elders using a physiological profile approach.
  • To evaluate the effectiveness of a multilayer neural network for fall risk assessment.

Main Methods:

  • Collected physiological profiles from 200 elders via questionnaire.
  • Utilized a multilayer neural network with back-propagation for prediction.
  • Applied principal component analysis to identify high-impact risk factors.

Main Results:

  • Achieved ≈90% accuracy predicting falls based on psychological factors.
  • Achieved ≈87.5% accuracy predicting falls based on public factors.
  • Combined psychological and public factors yielded ≈91% prediction accuracy.

Conclusions:

  • The proposed neural network model effectively predicts fall risk in elders.
  • Combining psychological and public health factors enhances prediction accuracy.
  • This method offers reliable measurements for healthcare and physical therapy settings to identify at-risk individuals.