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Updated: Mar 8, 2026
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Experimental Research Examining How People Can Cope with Uncertainty Through Soft Haptic Sensations
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A Practical Approach to Address Uncertainty in Stakeholder Deliberations
Robin Gregory1, Ralph L Keeney2
1Decision Research, Eugene, OR, USA/Halfmoon Bay, BC, Canada.
Summary
This study addresses uncertainty in public policy decisions. It recommends using certainty equivalents to help stakeholders evaluate alternatives with multiple objectives.
Area of Science:
- Decision Analysis
- Risk Assessment
- Public Policy
Background:
- Incorporating uncertainty into stakeholder deliberations for policy decisions is challenging.
- A significant gap exists between common practices and prescriptive decision-aiding models for handling uncertainty.
Purpose of the Study:
- To explore the difficulties in integrating uncertainty estimates into stakeholder discussions for multiple alternatives.
- To propose a model for effectively incorporating uncertainty in public policy decision-making.
Main Methods:
- Reviewed the treatment of uncertainty across four phases: expert elicitation, individual and coalition stakeholder engagement, committee deliberations, and decision-maker involvement.
- Developed a model utilizing certainty equivalents.
Main Results:
- Identified challenges in current stakeholder deliberation practices regarding uncertainty.
- Proposed certainty equivalents as a robust and practical method for uncertainty integration.
Conclusions:
- Certainty equivalents offer a theoretically sound and practical approach for diverse stakeholders.
- This method aids in evaluating multiple-objective alternatives under uncertainty in public policy contexts.
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