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Warfarin Dosing Algorithms Underpredict Dose Requirements in Patients Requiring ≥7 mg Daily: A Systematic Review and
S M Saffian1,2, S B Duffull1, Dfb Wright1
1School of Pharmacy, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand.
Abstract:
There is preliminary evidence to suggest that some published warfarin dosing algorithms produce biased maintenance dose predictions in patients who require higher than average doses. We conducted a meta-analysis of warfarin dosing algorithms to determine if there exists a systematic under- or overprediction of dose requirements for patients requiring ≥7 mg/day across published algorithms. Medline and Embase databases were searched up to September 2015. We quantified the proportion of over- and underpredicted doses in patients whose observed maintenance dose was ≥7 mg/day. The meta-analysis included 47 evaluations of 22 different warfarin dosing algorithms from 16 studies. The meta-analysis included data from 1,492 patients who required warfarin doses of ≥7 mg/day. All 22 algorithms were found to underpredict warfarin dosing requirements in patients who required ≥7 mg/day by an average of 2.3 mg/day with a pooled estimate of underpredicted doses of 92.3% (95% confidence interval 90.3-94.1, I2 = 24%).
Insights
Published warfarin dosing algorithms consistently underestimate the required dosage for patients needing higher doses. This meta-analysis confirms a significant underprediction across 22 algorithms for patients requiring at least 7 mg daily.
Area of Science:
- Pharmacology
- Clinical Pharmacy
- Biostatistics
Background:
- Warfarin dosing algorithms aim to personalize anticoagulant therapy.
- Preliminary data suggest some algorithms are inaccurate for patients with high dose requirements.
- Accurate warfarin dosing is critical for therapeutic efficacy and safety.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine if published warfarin dosing algorithms systematically under- or overpredict maintenance doses.
- To specifically evaluate algorithms in patients requiring higher than average warfarin doses (≥7 mg/day).
Main Methods:
- A meta-analysis was performed on data from Medline and Embase databases up to September 2015.
- Included were 47 evaluations of 22 distinct warfarin dosing algorithms from 16 studies.
- Analyzed data from 1,492 patients requiring a maintenance dose of ≥7 mg/day.
Main Results:
- All 22 evaluated warfarin dosing algorithms demonstrated underprediction.
- The average underprediction across algorithms was 2.3 mg/day.
- A pooled estimate indicated 92.3% of doses were underpredicted for patients requiring ≥7 mg/day (95% CI 90.3-94.1).
Conclusions:
- Existing warfarin dosing algorithms exhibit significant bias in predicting maintenance doses for patients with high requirements.
- Clinical practice should account for this underprediction to ensure appropriate warfarin dosing.
- Further research is needed to develop more accurate algorithms for diverse patient populations.
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