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Updated: Mar 7, 2026

Catheter Ablation in Combination With Left Atrial Appendage Closure for Atrial Fibrillation
Published on: February 26, 2013
Incidence, type of atrial fibrillation and risk factors for stroke: a population-based cohort study
Cecilia Johansson1, Erik Dahlqvist1, Jonas Andersson1
1Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Skellefteå Research Unit, Umeå University, Umeå, Västerbotten, Sweden.
Insights
The incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) increases significantly with age. Most patients diagnosed with AF have risk factors for stroke and permanent AF is the most common type.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Atrial fibrillation and atrial flutter (AF) are common arrhythmias.
- Understanding AF incidence, risk factors, and types is crucial for patient management and stroke prevention.
Purpose of the Study:
- To estimate the incidence of atrial fibrillation and atrial flutter (AF).
- To assess provoking and risk factors for stroke and systemic embolism in new AF cases.
- To determine the predominant type of AF among newly diagnosed patients.
Main Methods:
- A cohort study conducted in northern Sweden (2011-2012).
- Incident AF cases identified via ICD-10 code (I48) and electrocardiogram-verified.
- Data on provoking factors, AF type, and CHA2DS2-VASc scores extracted from medical records.
Main Results:
- Overall AF incidence was 4.0 per 1,000 person-years, rising to 27.5 in those ≥80 years.
- A provoking factor was identified in 21% of patients with first-diagnosed AF.
- Permanent AF was the most frequent type (29%), and 81% had a CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥2.
Conclusions:
- AF incidence markedly increases with age, with significant stroke risk factors present in most patients.
- Permanent AF is the most common type, highlighting the need for proactive stroke prevention strategies.
Purpose:
The aims of this study were to estimate the incidence of atrial fibrillation and atrial flutter (AF), to assess the presence of provoking factors and risk factors for stroke and systemic embolism, and to determine the type of AF in patients with first-diagnosed AF.
Patients And Methods:
This cohort study was performed in northern Sweden between January 1, 2011 and December 31, 2012. Diagnosis registries were searched for the International Classification of Diseases-10 code for AF (I48) to identify cases of incident AF. All AF diagnoses were electrocardiogram-verified. Data pertaining to provoking factors, type of AF and presence of risk factors for stroke and systemic embolism according to the CHA2DS2-VASc score were obtained from medical records.
Results:
The incidence of AF in the entire population was 4.0 per 1,000 person-years. The incidence was 27.5 per 1,000 person-years in patients aged ≥80 years. A total of 21% of all patients had a provoking factor in association with the first-diagnosed episode of AF. The CHA2DS2-VASc score was 2 or higher in 81% of the patients. Permanent AF was the most common type of AF (29%).
Conclusion:
There was a considerable increase in the incidence of AF with age, and a provoking factor was found in one-fifth. The most common type of AF was permanent AF. Four in five patients had a CHA2DS2-VASc score of 2 or more.
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