Risk factors of high-grade anal intraepithelial neoplasia recurrence in HIV-infected MSM
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Updated: Mar 6, 2026

Ex Vivo Infection of Human Lymphoid Tissue and Female Genital Mucosa with Human Immunodeficiency Virus 1 and Histoculture
Published on: October 12, 2018
Joaquin Burgos1, Adria Curran, Stefania Landolfi
1aInfectious Diseases Department bAnatomical Pathology Department, Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Vall d'Hebron Research Institute (VHIR) cInternal Medicine Department, Hospital Universitari del Mar, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Objective:
To assess risk factors of high-grade anal intraepithelial neoplasia (HGAIN) recurrence in a cohort of HIV-infected MSM.
Design And Methods:
Consecutive HIV-infected 100 MSM with a history of successfully treated intra-anal HGAIN with electrocautery were followed with anal cytology, human papillomavirus (HPV) determination, and high-resolution anoscopy (HRA) at 3-6-month intervals. HGAIN recurrence was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Risk factors of recurrence were assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression. The value of different tests for detecting recurrence was also assessed.
Results:
After a mean follow-up of 17.6 months, 39 of the 100 patients [39%, 95% confidence interval (CI): 29-49] developed recurrent HGAIN, 24 at the previously treated site, and 15 at a different site. The probability of recurrence was 23.5% at 12 months (95% CI: 13.9-33.1) and 53.3% at 24 months (95% CI: 34.3-72.7). Risk factors of recurrence were presence of hepatitis C antibodies (hazard ratio 2.79; 95% CI: 1.04-7.53), nadir CD4 cell count less than 200 cells/μl (hazard ratio 2.61; 95% CI: 1.06-6.44), and HGAIN lesions affecting at least two octants of anal circumference (hazard ratio 8.27; 95% CI: 1.1-62). Infection by at least two HPV oncogenic strains increased the risk of recurrence (hazard ratio 2.3; 95% CI: 0.98-5.42). HRA, anal cytology, and oncogenic HPV determination test showed a sensitivity of 100, 79.4, and 86.7%, and a specificity of 57.7, 36.6, and 34.7%, respectively, for detecting HGAIN recurrence.
Conclusion:
The risk of HGAIN recurrence in HIV-infected MSM is high. Regular posttreatment follow-up of these patients is mandatory, and performing direct HRA appears to be the best strategy.
Insights
High-grade anal intraepithelial neoplasia (HGAIN) frequently recurs in HIV-infected men who have sex with men (MSM). Regular high-resolution anoscopy (HRA) follow-up is crucial for early detection and management.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Infectious Diseases
- Public Health
Background:
- High-grade anal intraepithelial neoplasia (HGAIN) is a precursor to anal cancer.
- HIV-infected men who have sex with men (MSM) have a significantly higher risk of HGAIN and its recurrence.
- Understanding recurrence risk factors is vital for effective patient management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify risk factors associated with HGAIN recurrence in HIV-infected MSM.
- To evaluate the effectiveness of different diagnostic methods for detecting HGAIN recurrence.
- To inform follow-up strategies for this high-risk population.
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 100 HIV-infected MSM with treated HGAIN was followed for a mean of 17.6 months.
- Participants underwent regular anal cytology, human papillomavirus (HPV) testing, and high-resolution anoscopy (HRA).
- Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression were used to assess recurrence and risk factors.
Main Results:
- HGAIN recurred in 39% of patients within 24 months.
- Risk factors for recurrence included hepatitis C antibodies, low nadir CD4 count (<200 cells/μl), extensive HGAIN lesions, and infection with multiple oncogenic HPV strains.
- HRA demonstrated 100% sensitivity for detecting recurrence.
Conclusions:
- The risk of HGAIN recurrence is substantial in HIV-infected MSM.
- Post-treatment surveillance is essential for this population.
- Direct high-resolution anoscopy (HRA) is the most sensitive method for detecting HGAIN recurrence.
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