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Can predation cause the 10-year hare cycle?

K Trostel1, A R E Sinclair1, C J Walters1

  • 1Institute of Animal Resource Ecology, University of British columbia, V6T 1W5, Vancouver, B.C., Canada.

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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Winter predation drives snowshoe hare (Lepus americanus) population cycles. A simulation model incorporating delayed density-dependent responses and predator functional responses accurately predicted these 8-11 year cycles.

Keywords:
Population cyclePredationSnowshoe hare

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Area of Science:

  • Ecology
  • Population Dynamics
  • Wildlife Biology

Background:

  • Snowshoe hare populations exhibit cyclical fluctuations.
  • Understanding mortality factors is key to explaining these population dynamics.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To identify mortality causes in snowshoe hares in relation to population density.
  • To test if density-dependent mortality can generate observed population cycles using simulation models.

Main Methods:

  • Collected mortality data for snowshoe hares over an 8-year period in Yukon, Canada.
  • Developed simulation models to assess density-dependent mortality effects on population cycles.
  • Incorporated delayed density-dependent numerical responses and Type II functional responses in predator models.

Main Results:

  • Winter predation was the primary mortality source for snowshoe hares.
  • Mortality rates showed lagged density dependence: 1-year for predation, 2-years for non-predation.
  • A model with delayed density-dependent winter mortality and Type II predator response successfully simulated 8-11 year cycles.

Conclusions:

  • Density-dependent winter mortality, particularly predation, is crucial for snowshoe hare population cycles.
  • Model complexity, including predator-prey interactions and time lags, is essential for accurate cycle simulation.
  • Further research on juvenile mortality may refine population cycle models.