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Patterns of Multiple Emergency Department Visits: Do Primary Care Physicians Matter?
Daniel D Maeng1, Jing Hao2, John B Bulger3
1Primary Investigator and Assistant Professor for the Department of Epidemiology and Health Services Research, Geisinger Health System in Danville, PA. ddmaeng@geisinger.edu.
Patient health conditions, not primary care physicians, drive frequent Emergency Department (ED) visits. Interventions targeting primary care are unlikely to reduce overall ED utilization.
Area of Science:
- Health Services Research
- Healthcare Management
- Public Health
Background:
- Overreliance on Emergency Departments (EDs) for routine care increases costs and creates gaps in care coordination and preventive services.
- Understanding factors driving frequent ED visits is crucial for optimizing healthcare resource allocation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify factors associated with multiple ED visits.
- To assess the impact of primary care physicians (PCPs) on patients' multiple ED visit rates.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of Geisinger Health Plan claims data (2013-2014) for 20,351 adult patients with >1 ED visit in 12 months.
- Linear regression models used patient characteristics and utilization patterns to explain variations in multiple ED visit rates, including PCP fixed effects.
Main Results:
- Multiple ED visits correlated with younger age (18-39), Medicaid insurance, and higher comorbidity.
- Increased physician office visits and inpatient admissions also associated with higher ED visit rates.
- PCP characteristics minimally improved explained variation (R² increased from 0.14 to 0.16).
Conclusions:
- Patient health conditions and care needs, rather than PCPs, primarily drive multiple ED visits.
- ED visits appear complementary to, not a substitute for, PCP visits.
- PCP-focused interventions are unlikely to significantly reduce overall ED utilization.
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