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Less money, more problems: How changes in disposable income affect child maltreatment
1Department of Social Work, George Warren Brown School of Social Work, Washington University in St. Louis, 1 Brookings Drive, St. Louis, MO 63130, United States.
Insights
Rising gas prices are linked to increased child maltreatment reports. This study shows economic shocks, like fuel cost changes, impact child safety and family well-being.
Area of Science:
- Child development
- Economics
- Public health
Background:
- Research indicates a link between child maltreatment and family income.
- However, specific economic shocks influencing child maltreatment rates remain understudied.
- Millions of children in the U.S. are reported for maltreatment each year.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate if exogenous shocks to disposable income, specifically gasoline price changes, predict child maltreatment.
- To analyze the relationship between fluctuating gas prices and child maltreatment referral rates.
Main Methods:
- Utilized fixed-effects regression analysis.
- Examined state-level data on gasoline prices and child maltreatment referrals.
- Controlled for demographic and other economic variables.
Main Results:
- Increased state-level gas prices were significantly associated with higher state-level child maltreatment referral rates.
- Results remained consistent across fixed-effects, random-effects, and mixed-effects regression models.
- The findings suggest a robust correlation between gasoline price fluctuations and child maltreatment.
Conclusions:
- Fluctuations in gasoline prices represent an economic shock that can negatively impact child maltreatment rates.
- Policy implications may involve mitigating the effects of economic volatility on vulnerable families.
- Further research is warranted to explore the mechanisms linking gas prices and child maltreatment.
Abstract:
A number of research studies have documented an association between child maltreatment and family income. Yet, little is known about the specific types of economic shocks that affect child maltreatment rates. The paucity of information is troubling given that more than six million children are reported for maltreatment annually in the U.S. alone. This study examines whether an exogenous shock to families' disposable income, a change in the price of gasoline, predicts changes in child maltreatment. The findings of a fixed-effects regression show that increases in state-level gas prices are associated with increases in state-level child maltreatment referral rates, even after controlling for demographic and other economic variables. The results are robust to the manner of estimation; random-effects and mixed-effects regressions produce similar estimates. The findings suggest that fluctuations in the price of gas may have important consequences for children.
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