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Adapting Evaluations of Alternative Payment Models to a Changing Environment
Thomas W Grannemann1, Randall S Brown2
1Mathematica Policy Research, Cambridge, MA.
Evaluating alternative payment models (APMs) requires new methods. Fractional factorial experiments offer robust evidence for APM effectiveness in evolving healthcare delivery systems.
Area of Science:
- Health Services Research
- Health Economics
- Healthcare Policy
Background:
- The healthcare landscape is rapidly evolving with the widespread adoption of alternative payment models (APMs).
- Traditional research designs struggle to establish credible comparison groups in this dynamic environment.
- Evaluating the effectiveness of APMs is crucial for healthcare reform.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify the most robust methods for evaluating alternative payment models (APMs).
- To assess the impact of APM adoption on the availability of credible comparison groups.
- To consider the applicability of factorial research designs for APM evaluation.
Main Methods:
- Assessing the impact of widespread APM testing on comparison group availability.
- Evaluating the applicability of factorial research designs for APM assessment.
- Comparing factorial experiments with traditional single-model designs.
Main Results:
- Widespread APM adoption challenges the use of "pure" control or comparison groups.
- Factorial experiments present advantages over traditional designs in the current healthcare environment.
- Systematically varying APM requirements and provisions within experiments is key.
Conclusions:
- Fractional factorial experiments are the most promising approach for definitive APM evidence.
- These experiments allow systematic variation of payment incentives and model requirements.
- Robust evaluation methods are essential for understanding APM impacts.
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