Plasmodium knowlesi invasion following spread by infected mosquitoes, macaques and humans

Laith Yakob1, Alun L Lloyd2, Rowland R Kao3

  • 1Department of Disease Control,London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine,Keppel Street,London WC1E 7HT,UK.

Parasitology
|March 28, 2017
PubMed

Insights

Plasmodium knowlesi malaria transmission in Southeast Asia is influenced by macaque host preference plasticity in Anopheles mosquitoes. Understanding vector behavior is crucial for controlling this emerging public health threat.

Area of Science:

  • Epidemiology
  • Mathematical Biology
  • Vector-borne Diseases

Background:

  • Plasmodium knowlesi is a significant cause of malaria in Southeast Asia.
  • Anopheles leucosphyrous mosquitoes transmit P. knowlesi, with macaques as natural hosts.
  • The role of humans in P. knowlesi epidemiology and the risk to naive populations are not fully understood.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze the threat of P. knowlesi introduction into immunologically naive populations.
  • To identify key factors influencing P. knowlesi transmission dynamics.
  • To inform public health strategies for malaria control in Southeast Asia.

Main Methods:

  • A two-host species mathematical model was developed to simulate P. knowlesi transmission.
  • Global sensitivity analysis using Monte Carlo methods was employed to assess parameter influence.
  • Invasion analysis was used to evaluate the impact of vector behavioral plasticity.

Main Results:

  • Vector longevity and ecological factors significantly influence P. knowlesi transmission.
  • The plasticity of vector host preferences, shaped by local conditions, is a key determinant of transmission potential.
  • Behavioral plasticity in vectors can alter the probability of epidemics from imported infections.

Conclusions:

  • Understanding vector behavioral plasticity is critical for assessing P. knowlesi invasion risk.
  • Identifying specific Anopheles vector species and their biting behaviors are essential next steps for disease control.
  • Mathematical modeling can assist in strategizing P. knowlesi control efforts.

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