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Related Experiment Videos

Narcotism: dimensions of the problem.

S Cohen

    Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences
    |January 1, 1978
    PubMed
    Summary

    Estimating heroin use trends requires multiple indicators to avoid distortion. Heroin use increased significantly in the 1960s, with fluctuations and a westward shift observed since the mid-1970s.

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    Area of Science:

    • Public Health
    • Epidemiology
    • Substance Abuse Research

    Background:

    • Indirect indicators for estimating heroin use trends are prone to distortion by external variables.
    • A panel of indicators, when used concurrently and showing similar trends, offers the most reliable data for assessing heroin use patterns.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To analyze historical trends in heroin use.
    • To identify factors influencing changes in heroin prevalence.
    • To project future heroin use scenarios based on current trends and potential interventions.

    Main Methods:

    • Utilized a panel of indirect indicators to estimate heroin use trends.
    • Analyzed historical data from the 1960s to the present.
    • Considered both demand and supply-side factors influencing drug use patterns.

    Main Results:

    • Observed a substantial increase in heroin use during the 1960s.
    • Documented a decrease from 1970-1973, followed by a two-year prevalence increase.
    • Noted a leveling off or slight decrease in heroin use since 1975, with a geographical shift towards the West Coast.

    Conclusions:

    • Heroin use trends are influenced by complex demand and supply dynamics.
    • Without significant intervention, heroin use may increase sharply.
    • Current heroin prevalence rates are unlikely to return to pre-1960 levels; immediate goals focus on further reduction.

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