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Exploring the high-resolution mapping of gender-disaggregated development indicators.

C Bosco1,2,3, V Alegana4,2, T Bird4,2

  • 1WorldPop, Department of Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK c.bosco@soton.ac.uk.

Journal of the Royal Society, Interface
|April 7, 2017
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Spatial interpolation methods can map gender-disaggregated development indicators at high resolution. While promising for female literacy, accuracy varies significantly by country and indicator, necessitating careful validation for targeted resource allocation.

Keywords:
development indicatorsgeo-statisticsgeographic information systemmapping

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Area of Science:

  • Geospatial analysis
  • Development indicators
  • Health equity

Background:

  • National/subnational development indicators can mask crucial inequities, particularly for rural populations.
  • Targeting limited resources effectively requires understanding geographical variations in health and wealth.
  • Spatial interpolation offers potential for high-resolution mapping of demographic and health data.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To assess the accuracy of spatial interpolation methods for generating gender-disaggregated, high-resolution maps.
  • To evaluate the predictability of literacy, stunting, and modern contraceptive use across diverse settings.
  • To compare Bayesian geostatistical and machine learning approaches for mapping socio-economic indicators.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized geolocated Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) cluster data and geospatial covariates.
  • Applied Bayesian geostatistical and machine learning modeling across four low-income countries.
  • Generated 1x1 km resolution maps with uncertainty estimates for key gender-disaggregated indicators.

Main Results:

  • Achieved high predictive accuracy (up to 75% explained variance) for female literacy in Nigeria and Kenya.
  • Demonstrated moderate accuracy (50-70% explained variance) for several other socio-economic indicators.
  • Observed significant variability in mapping accuracy (2-30% explained variance) across countries and variables, with both methods showing limitations.

Conclusions:

  • Spatial interpolation shows potential for creating detailed maps to support geographically stratified decision-making and monitor development goals.
  • Substantial variations in accuracy highlight challenges in universal application across diverse countries and indicators.
  • Emphasized the critical importance of rigorous validation and uncertainty quantification when applying these methods.