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Related Experiment Videos

Tool for decision-making regarding general evacuation during a rapid river flood.

V Radosavljevic1, G Belojevic2, N Pavlovic3

  • 1Military Academy, University of Defence, Belgrade, Serbia.

Public Health
|April 14, 2017
PubMed
Summary

A new tool using precipitation, river discharge, river level, and weather forecasts can predict rapid river floods. This simple flood evacuation tool could have saved lives in past events.

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Area of Science:

  • Hydrology
  • Disaster Management
  • Meteorology

Background:

  • Rapid river floods pose significant threats to life and property.
  • Effective decision-making tools for timely evacuation are crucial during flood events.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To propose a simple and effective tool for general evacuation decisions during rapid river floods.
  • To validate the tool's efficacy through virtual testing in a real flood event.

Main Methods:

  • A four-component tool was developed, incorporating precipitation, upstream river discharge, upstream river level, and short-term hydrometeorological forecasts.
  • The tool was virtually applied to a catastrophic river flood event in Obrenovac, Serbia (May 2014).

Main Results:

Keywords:
Decision-makingPublic healthRiver floods

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  • The tool indicated a need for general evacuation one day prior to the Obrenovac flood, suggesting lives could have been saved.
  • Analysis of two previous major floods in Serbia showed the tool's evacuation score was met either one day before or at the onset of the flood.

Conclusions:

  • The proposed tool is simple, universally applicable, and aids decision-making for rapid river flood evacuations.
  • Further testing of this tool in future flood catastrophes is recommended.