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Area of Science:

  • Climate Science
  • Oceanography
  • Hydrology

Background:

  • Global warming alters precipitation and the water cycle, impacting terrestrial water storage (TWS).
  • Changes in TWS influence global sea level variations.
  • Natural TWS variability can obscure long-term sea level rise trends and complicate detection and attribution.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To quantify and map the contribution of TWS variability to decadal sea level variability.
  • To improve the detection and attribution of anthropogenic sea level rise.
  • To understand TWS impacts on future flooding and drought.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized a suite of observational data.
  • Quantified TWS variability's contribution to sea level variability on decadal timescales.
  • Mapped the spatial relationship between TWS and sea level changes.

Main Results:

  • Decadal sea level variability, particularly in the Pacific Ocean, is strongly linked to low-frequency TWS variability globally.
  • Identified key global regions where TWS variability significantly influences sea level.
  • Established a method to separate TWS-induced sea level variability from other trends.

Conclusions:

  • Separating TWS variability is crucial for accurately detecting and attributing anthropogenic sea level rise.
  • Understanding TWS-driven sea level fluctuations is essential for predicting future climate change impacts.
  • This research provides a pathway to better understand climate-driven sea level changes and their consequences.