[How frequent are poor prognostic markers in rheumatoid arthritis? : An estimate based on three epidemiologic...

Unfavorable prognostic factors-high disease activity, early erosions, and autoantibodies-should be considered when making treatment decisions in rheumatoid arthritis (RA). There are little data on the frequency of individual poor prognostic factors among RA patients in daily care.

Disease activity (Disease Activity Score, DAS28), erosions, antibodies against citrullinated peptides or rheumatoid factor (ACPA/RF+), previous treatment failure, inflammation markers, and functional disability (FFbH < 70) were defined as prognostic factors. Different treatment decision making situations were evaluated in disease-modifying antirheumatic drug (DMARD)-naïve patients from the early RA CAPEA cohort (n = 1059), and in patients from the biologics register RABBIT after failure of one (n = 2217) or more (n = 3280) conventional synthetic (cs)DMARDs or one (n = 1134) or more (n = 795) biologic (b)DMARDs. With the national database of German arthritis centers (NDB), the frequency of these factors was analyzed according to treatment strata (no/1^st/2^nd/3^rd DMARD; n = 5707).

In DMARD-naïve patients (CAPEA), 50% presented with DAS28 > 5.1, 64% were ACPA/RF+, 13% had erosions, and 37% functional disability (FFbH < 70). In RABBIT, 63 (1^st csDMARD failure) to 81% (≥2 bDMARD failures) were ACPA/RF+, 29 to 70% had erosions, 33 to 52% DAS28 > 5.1, and 41 to 66% had FFbH < 70, respectively. In the NDB, between 47 (DMARD-naïve) and 82% (≥2 previous DMARDs) were ACPA/RF+, 5 to 11%, had high disease activity under treatment (DAS28 > 5.1), and 26 to 50% had functional disability (FFbH < 70), respectively.

With growing numbers of previous DMARD therapies, increasing proportions of patients have poor prognostic factors. This underlines the importance of these factors for a difficult-to-treat disease course.