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High mortality from Guillain-Barré syndrome in Bangladesh
Tanveen Ishaque1,2, Mohammad B Islam1,3, Gulshan Ara1
1Laboratory Sciences and Services Division, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, (icddr,b), Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Insights
Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) in Bangladesh has a 12% mortality rate, primarily due to lack of ventilator support and disease severity. Understanding these risk factors is crucial for improving patient outcomes in the region.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Epidemiology
- Critical Care Medicine
Background:
- Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) presents a significant health challenge in Bangladesh with high incidence and poor outcomes.
- Mortality patterns and associated risk factors for GBS in Bangladesh remain underexplored.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the frequency, timing, and specific risk factors contributing to GBS-related deaths in Bangladesh.
- To identify key determinants of mortality in GBS patients admitted to a tertiary care hospital.
Main Methods:
- A prospective study was conducted on 407 GBS patients at Dhaka Medical College Hospital from 2010 to 2013.
- Comparative analysis of deceased versus surviving patients identified risk factors.
- Cox regression modeling was employed to adjust for potential confounders.
Main Results:
- The study recorded a GBS mortality rate of 12% (50 out of 407 patients), with a median time to death of 18 days post-weakness onset.
- Key risk factors for mortality included lack of ventilator support (HR: 11.9), age ≥40 years (HR: 5.9), longer progressive phase >8 days (HR: 2.06), mechanical ventilation (HR: 2.3), autonomic dysfunction (HR: 1.9), and bulbar nerve involvement (HR: 5.4).
- Unavailability of ventilators contributed to 20% of GBS deaths.
Conclusions:
- GBS in Bangladesh is associated with substantial mortality, significantly influenced by the lack of adequate ventilator support.
- Disease severity, prolonged disease progression, autonomic dysfunction, and bulbar involvement are critical factors impacting GBS patient survival in this population.
Abstract:
Although Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) has higher incidence and poor outcome in Bangladesh, mortality from GBS in Bangladesh has never been explored before. We sought to explore the frequency, timing, and risk factors for deaths from GBS in Bangladesh. We conducted a prospective study on 407 GBS patients who were admitted to Dhaka Medical College Hospital, Dhaka, Bangladesh from 2010 to 2013. We compared deceased and alive patients to identify risk factors. Cox regression model was used to adjust for confounders. Of the 407 GBS patients, 50 (12%) died, with the median time interval between the onset of weakness and death of 18 days. Among the fatal cases, 24 (48%) were ≥40 years, 36 (72%) had a Medical Research Council sum score ≤20 at entry, 33 (66%) had a progressive phase <8 days, and 27 (54%) required ventilation support. Ten patients (20%) died due to unavailability of ventilator. The strongest risk factor for deaths was lack of ventilator support when it was required (HR: 11.9; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.6-30.7). Other risk factors for death included age ≥40 years (HR: 5.9; 95% CI: 2.1-16.7), mechanical ventilation (HR: 2.3; 95% CI: 1.02-5.2), longer progressive phase (>8 days) (HR: 2.06; 95% CI: 1.1-3.8), autonomic dysfunction (HR: 1.9; 95% CI: 1.05-3.6), and bulbar nerve involvement (HR: 5.4; 95% CI: 1.5-19.2). In Bangladesh, GBS is associated with higher mortality rates, which is related to lack of ventilator support, disease severity, longer progressive phase of the disease, autonomic dysfunction, and involvement of the bulbar nerves.
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