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Estimating Bilateral Atrial Function by Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance Feature Tracking in Patients with Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation
Published on: July 20, 2022
Mitral annular calcification progression and the risk of atrial fibrillation: results from MESA
Wesley T O'Neal1, Jimmy T Efird2, Saman Nazarian3
1Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Emory University of School of Medicine, 101 Woodruff Circle, Woodruff Memorial Building, Atlanta, GA 30322, USA.
Insights
Progression of mitral annular calcium (MAC) detected by cardiac CT significantly increases atrial fibrillation (AF) risk. Follow-up MAC measurements offer crucial prognostic information for AF prediction.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Radiology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common arrhythmia with significant health implications.
- Mitral annular calcium (MAC) is a marker of cardiovascular disease.
- The predictive value of MAC progression for incident AF is not well established.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate whether progression of mitral annular calcium (MAC) detected by cardiac computed tomography (CT) predicts incident atrial fibrillation (AF).
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 5683 participants from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.
- MAC measured by cardiac CT at baseline and follow-up.
- AF ascertained through hospital records and Medicare claims data.
- Cox regression analysis to assess the association between MAC progression and AF risk.
Main Results:
- Over 8.6 years median follow-up, 533 (9.4%) incident AF cases were detected.
- Any MAC progression was associated with a 50% increased risk for AF (HR=1.50, 95% CI=1.20-1.87), adjusted for multiple confounders.
- No significant interactions were found between MAC progression and AF risk by age, sex, or race/ethnicity.
Conclusions:
- Follow-up MAC measurement provides important prognostic information for AF risk.
- MAC progression is associated with a substantively greater risk of AF compared to no progression.
- MAC progression may indicate underlying left atrial abnormalities predisposing to AF.
Aims:
To determine if progression of mitral annular calcium (MAC) detected by cardiac computed tomography (CT) predicts incident atrial fibrillation (AF).
Methods And Results:
This analysis included 5683 participants (mean age 64 ± 10 years; 52% women; 40% whites; 27% blacks; 21% Hispanics; 12% Chinese-Americans) from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. MAC was measured by cardiac CT at baseline and at a follow-up CT scan over a mean time of 2.4 ± 0.84 years. AF was ascertained by review of hospital discharge records and from Medicare claims data through 31 December 2012. Cox regression was used to compute hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between MAC progression and AF. Over a median follow-up of 8.6 years, a total of 533 (9.4%) incident AF cases were detected. In a model adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, income, baseline MAC, systolic blood pressure, body mass index, diabetes, smoking, total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, antihypertensive medications, lipid-lowering therapies, and aspirin, any MAC progression (>0/year) was associated with an increased risk for AF (HR = 1.50, 95% CI = 1.20-1.87). Multiplicative interactions were not significant between MAC progression and AF by age (<65 year vs. older), sex, or race/ethnicity (whites vs. non-whites).
Conclusion:
Important prognostic information regarding AF risk is obtained with follow-up MAC measurement, as the risk for participants with any MAC progression was substantively greater than participants without progression. MAC progression may detect underlying left atrial abnormalities that predispose to AF.
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