False Positive Positron Emission Tomography / Computed Tomography Scans in Treated Head and Neck Cancers

Positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) imaging for head and neck cancers (HNC) is commonly utilized for post-treatment assessment. Though PET/CT in this setting has been reported to have high negative predictive values (> 90%), positive predictive values have been reported at approximately 50%, leading to high rates of false positivity (FP) and troubling management decisions for both patient and practitioner. The objective of this study was to identify patient, disease, treatment and imaging factors that might be associated with a higher likelihood of FP on initial post-treatment PET/CT imaging for patients treated for HNC.

A retrospective chart review was performed on 84 patients treated for HNC who received radiation therapy (RT) as part of their overall management from October 2005 to August 2013. Of the patients screened, 19 were found to have mucosally based squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) with positive initial post-treatment PET/CT studies (23%). Fisher's exact test was used to analyze the association between categorical variables and FP, including patient's gender, disease laterality, primary tumor site and stage, nodal and overall stage, high dose RT fraction size, number of RT fractions completed, total RT dose, biologically effective dose and timing of PET/CT acquisition. Wilcoxon rank-sum test was used to analyze the association between continuous variables and FP, including patient age, total elapsed days of RT, an amount of infused fluorodeoxyglucose ¹⁸F-FDG, pre-PET/CT serum glucose levels, and maximum standardized uptake value SUV_max. Statistically significant findings were those that were deemed p <0.05.

Among patients with positive initial post-treatment PET/CT scans for treated HNC, there was a lower proportion of higher primary disease stage associated with FP versus true positivity (T-stage 3-4: 20 vs 78%, respectively, p=0.023). We also discovered that 50% of patients that underwent confirmation for FP findings suffered serious complications as a direct consequence of invasive exploratory procedures.

Although PET/CT is known for its exceptional negative predictive value (> 90%) in the post-treatment setting for HNC, high rates of FP remains a clinical challenge. Our study suggests that tumor stage (T-stage) may impact FP rates in positive initial post-treatment PET/CT scans. We recommend careful multidisciplinary discussion regarding positive PET/CT studies in the post-treatment setting for HNC, particularly if invasive intervention is considered.