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Modelling female fertility traits in beef cattle using linear and non-linear models
H Naya1,2, F Peñagaricano3,4, J I Urioste2
1Unidad de Bioinformática, Institut Pasteur de Montevideo, Montevideo, Uruguay.
Accurate modeling of beef cattle fertility is crucial for genetic improvement. Non-linear models better capture genetic variation for calving success and failed oestrus, while linear models suit days from first calving.
Area of Science:
- Animal Genetics and Breeding
- Quantitative Genetics
- Livestock Production Systems
Background:
- Beef cattle fertility traits are vital for profitability but challenging to measure accurately in extensive systems.
- Limited and incomplete fertility records, coupled with strong environmental influences, hinder genetic improvement efforts.
- Novel approaches to model genetic variation in female fertility are essential for advancing breeding strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the performance of different statistical models for analyzing beef cattle female fertility traits.
- To compare linear and non-linear modeling approaches for endpoints like calving success, days from first calving, and failed oestrus.
- To assess the impact of model choice on heritability estimates and the selection of superior sires.
Main Methods:
- Assessed linear (Gaussian, Poisson) and non-linear (probit, censored Poisson, censored Gaussian) models.
- Applied models to three distinct fertility endpoints: calving success (CS), days from first calving (CD), and failed oestrus (FE).
- Compared model fit, heritability and repeatability estimates, and sire selection consistency across models and endpoints.
Main Results:
- Non-linear models provided a better fit for failed oestrus (FE) and calving success (CS) endpoints.
- Linear models were more appropriate for analyzing days from first calving (CD).
- Non-linear models yielded substantially higher heritability and repeatability estimates compared to linear models.
Conclusions:
- The choice of statistical model significantly impacts the estimation of genetic parameters and sire rankings for beef cattle fertility.
- Non-linear models are recommended for endpoints like FE and CS, while linear models are suitable for CD.
- Accurate endpoint selection and appropriate modeling are critical for effective genetic improvement of female fertility in beef cattle.
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