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Emerging interdependence between stock values during financial crashes.

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Stock market analysis reveals significant interdependencies during financial crises. Information flow between FTSE 100 stocks intensifies, indicating complex system behavior near critical events.

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Area of Science:

  • Quantitative Finance
  • Complex Systems Analysis
  • Financial Market Dynamics

Background:

  • Understanding stock market interdependencies is crucial for financial stability.
  • Previous research often overlooks the dynamic nature of these relationships, especially during crises.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To identify emerging interdependencies between traded stocks.
  • To analyze stock market behavior during global financial crises using information theory.

Main Methods:

  • Investigated daily stock values of FTSE 100 companies (2000-2015).
  • Applied information theoretical measures to compute information flow between multiple time series.
  • Identified distinct market regimes based on information flow patterns.

Main Results:

  • Most of the period showed small information flow between stocks.
  • A dramatic increase in stock interdependence was observed near global financial crises.
  • These crisis periods exhibited strong and prolonged stock interdependencies.

Conclusions:

  • Stock markets exhibit complex system behavior, particularly near critical events like financial crises.
  • Information flow analysis effectively reveals market regimes and the lasting impact of crashes.