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The Power of Exclusion using Automated Osteometric Sorting: Pair-Matching
Jeffrey James Lynch1, John Byrd2, Carrie B LeGarde1
1Defense POW/MIA Accounting Agency, 106 Peacekeeper Drive, Bldg 301, Offutt AFB, NE, 68113.
Journal of Forensic Sciences
|May 27, 2017
Summary
This study introduces two new osteometric sorting models that outperform the original for identifying human remains in commingled assemblages. These models demonstrate robustness against non-normality, improving forensic anthropology casework.
Area of Science:
- Forensic Anthropology
- Bioarchaeology
- Computational Biology
Background:
- Osteometric sorting is crucial for identifying individuals in commingled human remains.
- Existing models require validation and performance testing across diverse datasets.
- Statistical assumptions, such as normality, can impact model accuracy in forensic contexts.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare the performance of an original osteometric sorting model against two novel models.
- To validate and test the performance of these models using multiple forensic datasets.
- To present a computational approach for dynamic statistical modeling in commingled assemblages.
Main Methods:
- Comparative analysis of three osteometric sorting models: original and two new.
- Validation across three distinct samples: Forensic Data Bank, USS Oklahoma, and DPAA reference.
- Investigation of normality assumptions and application of data transformation; execution of 14,357,220 osteometric t-tests.
Main Results:
- Osteometric sorting models perform reliably even when reference samples deviate from normality.
- The two newly developed models demonstrate superior performance compared to the original model.
- A case study highlights the enhanced exclusion power of the new models in a real-world scenario.
Conclusions:
- The developed osteometric sorting models are robust and effective for identifying human remains.
- One of the new models is recommended to replace the original for future applications.
- Computational methods enhance the ability to analyze complex commingled skeletal assemblages.
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