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Aerosol climate change effects on land ecosystem services
1College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, EX4 4QE, UK. N.Unger@exeter.ac.uk.
Faraday Discussions
|June 3, 2017
Summary
Aerosol pollution significantly impacts climate and land productivity. Without aerosols, global warming would have already surpassed 1.5°C, with regional effects protecting Amazonian ecosystems while suppressing boreal productivity.
Area of Science:
- Earth System Science
- Climate Science
- Ecology
Background:
- Anthropogenic aerosols influence climate and land ecosystem services.
- Understanding aerosol impacts is crucial for climate change assessments and policy targets like the Paris Agreement's 1.5°C limit.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the impacts of aerosol physical climate change on land ecosystem services, specifically gross primary productivity (GPP) and net primary productivity (NPP).
- To quantify aerosol impacts relative to an aerosol-free world and examine the roles of land and ocean feedbacks.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a coupled global aerosol-carbon-climate model.
- Quantified aerosol impacts on an annual mean basis for the 1996-2005 period.
- Examined separate and combined effects of fast land feedbacks and slow ocean feedbacks.
Main Results:
- Aerosols induce global cooling (-0.8°C) and drying (-0.08 mm/day), with effective radiative forcing of -2.08 W m-2.
- Without aerosol pollution, the 1.5°C global warming limit would have been exceeded by 1996-2005.
- Regional impacts vary: Amazon NPP increased by 8% due to cooling, while North American Boreal GPP and NPP decreased by 35% due to cooling and drying.
Conclusions:
- Aerosol climate impacts on global average land ecosystem services are small due to opposing effects in tropical and boreal biomes.
- Oceanic slow feedbacks significantly influence impacts in the Amazon and North American Boreal regions.
- An 'eco-climate teleconnection' exists where Northern Hemisphere aerosol pollution cools the tropics, protecting Amazon NPP, while suppressing boreal NPP.
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