Related Experiment Video
Updated: Mar 1, 2026

A Method of Trigonometric Modelling of Seasonal Variation Demonstrated with Multiple Sclerosis Relapse Data
Published on: December 9, 2015
Multimarker risk stratification approach at multiple sclerosis onset
Lidia Fernández-Paredes1, Armanda Casrouge2, Jérémie Decalf2
1Dept. of Clinical Immunology and IdISSC, Hospital Clínico San Carlos, Madrid, Spain; Dept. of Microbiology I, Complutense University School of Medicine, Madrid, Spain.
Abstract:
Delay in the diagnosis of multiple sclerosis (MS) stems from the lack of specific clinical and analytical markers to assist in the early diagnosis and prediction of progressive course. We propose a decision-tree model that better defines early at onset MS patients and those with the progressive form by analysing a 12-biomarkers panel in serum and CSF samples of patients with MS, other neurological diseases (OND) and healthy contols. Thus, patients at onset of neurological disease were first classified by serum IL-7 levels <141pg/ml (OR=6.51, p<0.001). Combination of IL-7 and CXCL10 indicated risk for a specific MS clinical form, where IL-7<141 and CXCL10<570pg/ml were associated with the highest risk for PP-MS (OR=22, p=0.01). Unexpectedly, both PP-MS and RR-MS patients shared significantly decreased prototypical biomarkers of inflammation and tissue regeneration in CSF than OND suggesting a defective intrinsic immune response playing a role at the beginning of the disease.

