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Integrative modelling for One Health: pattern, process and participation
I Scoones1, K Jones2,3, G Lo Iacono4,5
1STEPS Centre, Institute of Development Studies, University of Sussex, Brighton BN1 9RE, UK i.scoones@ids.ac.uk.
Integrating multiple modeling approaches, including process, pattern, and participatory methods, enhances understanding of zoonotic disease dynamics. This
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Mathematical Modeling
- Public Health
Background:
- Zoonotic diseases pose significant threats to global health.
- Existing modeling approaches offer valuable but limited insights into disease dynamics.
- A 'One Health' approach is crucial for addressing complex health challenges.
Purpose of the Study:
- To advocate for an integrative modeling strategy for zoonotic disease dynamics.
- To explore synergies between process, pattern, and participatory modeling.
- To enhance disease control and public health responses through combined modeling insights.
Main Methods:
- Combining process-based compartmental models with macroecological data for spatial analysis.
- Utilizing participatory modeling and ethnographic research to understand ground-level transmission factors.
- Integrating diverse data sources to capture social, ecological, and epidemiological dynamics.
Main Results:
- Process and pattern models provide spatial perspectives on disease impact.
- Participatory modeling reveals crucial insights into transmission dynamics, including social roles and practices.
- Synergies between different modeling approaches offer a more comprehensive understanding of zoonoses.
Conclusions:
- An integrative '3P' modeling approach (process, pattern, participatory) is vital for understanding zoonotic disease dynamics.
- Cross-disciplinary collaboration is essential for a holistic 'One Health' perspective.
- This integrated approach can significantly improve disease control strategies and public health interventions.
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